🔔What is the actual impact of QE & interest rate changes?
QE and interest rates are slippery topics. So we've come to the conclusion that people must know what the actual impact of QE (quantitative easing) and interest rate changes is.
Real Yields: An Essential Tool for Investors
Real yields provide a clearer picture of the returns investors can expect from an investment. By stripping out the effects of inflation and removing any time-value distortion of money, real yields more accurately reflect the actual rate of return you will earn.
The US 2s10s curve has never been more important
The bond market is the defining factor in judging what is going on in the market, and looking at bond yields, specifically the US 2s10s curve (the spread between the US 10 year treasury yield and the 2 year) can give us a shining light into how risks are priced and what is next for the real economy.
What are the best stocks for rising interest rates?
We've identified that in a rising interest rate environment, stocks on the whole are likely to decline as we're currently seeing with pretty much all indices...
The risk free rate is key to understanding stock markets
No joke, I think if you're able to understand the role interest rates play in the economy and in financial markets then you are halfway to winning the battle of being able to construct winning ideas.
🔔 Captain America Explains Demographics (And Why They Matter For Markets)
Demographics are destiny. At least that's how they're described... But demographic changes are like the tortoise of the economic race. Slow, steady & barely moving
🔔 Market Legend Howard Marks And His 'Idiosyncratic' Positions
Howard Marks is an absolute legend. If you want to understand cycles, risk, and why forecasts are BS, he's the God-like investor you need
🔔 Bank Of England Withdraws Mortgage Affordability Test
Just as the housing market slows, and interest rates rise. Top timing as always. And Cathie Wood's price targets are outrageous for a reason.
🔔 "Recessions Don't Happen When Everyone Is Expecting Them"
"If everyone's expecting it, it won't happen" | The Next Big Thing in chip technology | Dollar dominates, but for how much longer?
My head isn't turning away from the housing market
Güten Morgen, hello, hi. Seriously can't shake the feeling that the housing market is the micro root of all evil (or at least where the largest risks are).
Can you feel what's bubbling under the surface?
I'm back. After a brief stint with COVID (which was, quite frankly, effing debilitating), I'm 80% recovered. And I'm literally coming back to this market completely blind, since I was in bed all of last week, isolated from the comings and goings of this mental market we're all looking at.
Disunity, discontinuity and debt deboning
Who remembers Brexit? Seems like it was a long time ago now, doesn't it? Do you remember the super gonorrhoea we were meant to get? The queues upon queues of people trying to leave or get in or whatever the kooky Remainers had concocted in their heads?
🔔 Forget Russia & Ukraine, There's Tension Everywhere
From Trudeau's overreach to China's trade deal, trust is in short supply. It's also the currency of a prosperous society and free trade...
🔔 Quantitative 101: Easing, Tapering & Tightening (QE/QT)
Differences between Quantitative Easing, Quantitative Tapering & Quantitative Tightening often confuse people. #MacrodesiacFixesThis
Sell All Stocks... It's Over! Apart from the NASDAQ
We're now in a technical market. Flow matters, fundamentals are relatively priced in, we now have to see how scared the market is. Have a listen to our thoughts going forward.
🔔 China's Louis Vuitton Love Affair Is On Borrowed Time
Commoditized luxury isn't something a 'socially aware' China should buy into.. “From each according to his ability, to each according to his needs”
Morning Call: How a hedge fund advisor thinks about markets!
Absolute pleasure to be joined by Hedge Fund Advisor Buena Patria today. His view on rates, fx, equities and how they all combine is golden and will seriously help you try to understand your own process better!
Morning Call - Has there been a market shift post FOMC? W/ Adrian Grimaldi Alberts
💥 We're joined by Adrian Grimaldi Alberts to discuss the SP500, China, and what the state of the market is after the Fed's decision.
🔔 FX: Beta Kings... Emerging Market Currencies Part 1
Rounding off the FX series with the best of the bunch. If you enjoy volatility, pain, and always go back to your crazy ex for more, then these are the currencies for you!
Morning Call: Fed, China's Singletons & Misplaced Optimism
David's disappointed that there are no Fed speakers this week. China's demographics are inescapable, and optimism about the future and things being different is likely misplaced.